Companies: 10,795·Total market cap: $144.5T
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund

MSDLNYSEFinancial Services● Active
$15.22
+$0.07(+0.46%)
Market Cap$1.3B
P/E Ratio
52W High$19.94
52W Low$13.66
Overview

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) Stock Forecast & Analyst Price Target

Wall Street consensus, 12-month price targets, model projections, and EPS/revenue estimates — from analyst data and price history.

msdl · stock forecast · 6 analysts (3M) · FMP · updated Jun 8, 2026

Analyst Rating & Consensus

Based on 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months

SellBuy

Hold

6 analysts

consensus

Rating Breakdown

Strong Buy
0
Buy
0
Hold
6
Sell
0
Strong Sell
0
Total: 6 · Buy rate: 0.0%

12-Month Price Target

High

$17.00

Consensus

$16.42

+7.5% upside

Low

$16.00

Median: $16.25 · Last Close: $15.27

The Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) analyst consensus is Hold, based on ratings from 6 Wall Street analysts over the past 3 months. The average 12-month MSDL price target is $16.42, representing +7.5% upside from the current price of $15.27.

12-Month Price Target Forecast

Historical closing prices + analyst 12-month price target forecast cone

Historical priceConsensus $16 (7.5%)

Consensus Target

$16.42

7.5% upside

High Target

$17

11.3%

Low Target

$16

4.8%

Current Price

$15.27

as of today

Based on analyst price targets, the MSDL stock price prediction for the next 12 months ranges from $16 to $17. The consensus MSDL price forecast of $16.42 implies 7.5% upside from the current price of $15.27.

Short-Term Price Prediction

Algorithmically generated · Updated daily

DatePredicted PriceChange
2026-06-09$15.340.45%

1-day model range: $15.3–$15.38. Peak: $15.38 (+0.45%).

Long-Term Stock Price Prediction

Annual stock price forecast · 2027 / 2028 / 2029 / 2030 / 2031

YearAvg PriceChange
2027$13-13.6%
2028$12-20.1%
2029$12-23.4%
2030$11-25.1%
2031-26.1%
Confidence:Medium

Stock Forecast Based on Technical Analysis

14 TA signals (SMA×6 + EMA×6 + RSI + MACD) · EEAT method transparency

Market Sentiment

NEUTRAL

Based on 14 technical indicators

43%7%50%
6Buy
1Neutral
7Sell
RSI (14)57.6Neutral
MACDBULLISH

Refreshes daily from EOD close

Moving Averages · MSDL · Jun 8, 2026

Simple Moving Average (SMA)
MA 5$15.33SELL
MA 10$15.35SELL
MA 20$15.21BUY
MA 50$15.04BUY
MA 100$15.21BUY
MA 200$16.13SELL
Current $MSDL · Price above MA = BUY signal
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
EMA 5$15.30SELL
EMA 10$15.30SELL
EMA 20$15.27BUY
EMA 50$15.20BUY
EMA 100$15.43SELL
EMA 200$16.20SELL
Current $MSDL · Price above MA = BUY signal
How we calculate: Technical sentiment is derived from 14 indicators — SMA(5,10,20,50,100,200), EMA(5,10,20,50,100,200), RSI(14), and MACD(12,26,9) — calculated from historical EOD price data. BUY = current price above MA; SELL = below. 14 TA signals + historical EOD price data · Updated daily. Independent of analyst consensus data. Not investment advice.

Latest Analyst Ratings & Upgrades

Filter:
UBS2026-04-20
Maintains
NeutralNeutral
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods2026-04-16
Maintains
Market PerformMarket Perform
UBS2026-03-13
Maintains
NeutralNeutral
JP Morgan2026-03-13
Maintains
NeutralNeutral
RBC Capital2026-03-05
Maintains
Sector PerformSector Perform
Wells Fargo2026-03-02
Maintains
Equal WeightEqual Weight
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods2026-03-02
Maintains
Market PerformMarket Perform
Wells Fargo2026-01-07
Downgrade ↓
OverweightEqual Weight
RBC Capital2025-11-26
Downgrade ↓
OutperformSector Perform
JP Morgan2025-11-10
Maintains
NeutralNeutral

Wall Street analysts have recently issued updated ratings on Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) stock. Of the recent 35 rating actions, 1 were upgrades and 4 were downgrades. 6 analysts currently cover MSDL.

Analyst Recommendation Trends

Buy ratings101
Hold ratings02↑ +2
Sell ratings00

MSDL analyst recommendation trends show decreasing buy-side sentiment over the past 6 months. Buy rating actions changed from 1 to 0 per month.

Financial Forecast: EPS & Revenue Estimates

Revenue This Year

$420M

↑ 16.3% YoY

Revenue Next Year

$398M

↓ 5.2% YoY

EPS This Year

$2.54

EPS Next Year

$2.02

↓ 20.4% YoY

EPS ForecastReported vs Estimated

Reported EPSHistorical estimateAnalyst forecast (future)

Analysts forecast MSDL EPS of $2.54 for the current fiscal year, based on estimates from 4 analysts. The MSDL revenue forecast is $420M for the current year. These are analyst consensus estimates via FMP / S&P Global.

About Forecast & Price Prediction

The MSDL stock forecast is supported by two independent data sources: analyst consensus ratings from 6 Wall Street analysts (S&P Global / FMP), and technical analysis calculated from historical EOD price data. The consensus MSDL price target is $16.42 (+7.5% upside), with an analyst consensus of Hold.

The MSDL short-term stock prediction for tomorrow is $15.34 (+0.45%). The MSDL stock price prediction for 2027 estimates an average of $13. The MSDL stock prediction for 2030 projects a range of $11–$12.

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund trades on NYSE under the ticker MSDL. The MSDL stock outlook for 2027 is broadly mixed, supported by a Hold consensus among 0% of covering analysts.

FAQ answers synthesize analyst targets, estimates, and on-page model outputs where shown.

Frequently asked questions

MSDL forecast · 8 questions

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, the average 12-month MSDL price target is $16.42, with a high forecast of $17.00 and a low of $16.00. The median price target is shown in the chart above when available. This implies +7.5% potential upside from the current price of $15.27.

MSDL price targetWhat is MSDL price targetMSDL analyst price targetMSDL 12-month target

· Analyst data: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · S&P Global Market Intelligence · Technical analysis: FMP /historical-price-eod/light · Updated: Hourly (analyst) · Daily (technical)

⚠ This information is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Short-term and long-term price predictions are algorithmically generated and carry significant uncertainty. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.