Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) Stock Forecast & Analyst Price Target
Wall Street consensus, 12-month price targets, model projections, and EPS/revenue estimates — from analyst data and price history.
ari · stock forecast · 12 analysts (3M) · FMP · updated Jun 8, 2026
Analyst Rating & Consensus
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months
Hold
12 analysts
consensus
Rating Breakdown
12-Month Price Target
High
$13.50
Consensus
$12.00
+9.3% upside
Low
$10.50
Median: $12 · Last Close: $10.98
12-Month Price Target Forecast
Historical closing prices + analyst 12-month price target forecast cone
Consensus Target
$12.00
9.3% upside
High Target
$13.5
23.0%
Low Target
$10.5
-4.4%
Current Price
$10.98
as of today
Based on analyst price targets, the ARI stock price prediction for the next 12 months ranges from $10.5 to $13.5. The consensus ARI price forecast of $12.00 implies 9.3% upside from the current price of $10.98.
Short-Term Price Prediction
Algorithmically generated · Updated daily
| Date | Predicted Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | $10.97 | ↓ 0.05% |
1-day model range: $10.95–$10.99. Peak: $10.99 (-0.05%).
Long-Term Stock Price Prediction
Annual stock price forecast · 2027 / 2028 / 2029 / 2030 / 2031
| Year | Avg Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $12 | +8.8% |
| 2028 | $13 | +14.0% |
| 2029 | $13 | +17.1% |
| 2030 | $13 | +18.8% |
| 2031 | — | +19.7% |
Stock Forecast Based on Technical Analysis
14 TA signals (SMA×6 + EMA×6 + RSI + MACD) · EEAT method transparency
Market Sentiment
BULLISH
Based on 14 technical indicators
Refreshes daily from EOD close
Moving Averages · ARI · Jun 8, 2026
Latest Analyst Ratings & Upgrades
| Date | Brokerage | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform→Outperform |
| 2025-11-03 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight→Overweight |
| 2025-10-20 | JP Morgan | Upgrade ↑ | Neutral→Overweight |
| 2025-10-09 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform→Outperform |
| 2025-07-15 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral→Neutral |
| 2025-07-10 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform→Outperform |
| 2025-05-21 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral→Neutral |
| 2025-04-29 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform→Outperform |
| 2025-04-29 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Perform→Market Perform |
| 2025-04-28 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral→Neutral |
Wall Street analysts have recently issued updated ratings on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) stock. Of the recent 53 rating actions, 6 were upgrades and 10 were downgrades. 12 analysts currently cover ARI.
Analyst Recommendation Trends
ARI analyst recommendation trends show decreasing buy-side sentiment over the past 6 months. Buy rating actions changed from 2 to 1 per month.
Financial Forecast: EPS & Revenue Estimates
Revenue This Year
$176M
↓ 35.2% YoY
Revenue Next Year
$311M
↑ 76.9% YoY
EPS This Year
$0.05
EPS Next Year
$0.35
↑ 555.4% YoY
EPS ForecastReported vs Estimated
Analysts forecast ARI EPS of $0.05 for the current fiscal year, based on estimates from 2 analysts. The ARI revenue forecast is $176M for the current year. These are analyst consensus estimates via FMP / S&P Global.
About Forecast & Price Prediction
The ARI stock forecast is supported by two independent data sources: analyst consensus ratings from 12 Wall Street analysts (S&P Global / FMP), and technical analysis calculated from historical EOD price data. The consensus ARI price target is $12.00 (+9.3% upside), with an analyst consensus of Hold.
The ARI short-term stock prediction for tomorrow is $10.97 (-0.05%). The ARI stock price prediction for 2027 estimates an average of $12. The ARI stock prediction for 2030 projects a range of $13–$13.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. trades on NYSE under the ticker ARI. The ARI stock outlook for 2027 is broadly mixed, supported by a Hold consensus among 17% of covering analysts.
Frequently asked questions
ARI forecast · 8 questionsAccording to 12 Wall Street analysts, the average 12-month ARI price target is $12.00, with a high forecast of $13.50 and a low of $10.50. The median price target is shown in the chart above when available. This implies +9.3% potential upside from the current price of $10.98.
· Analyst data: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · S&P Global Market Intelligence · Technical analysis: FMP /historical-price-eod/light · Updated: Hourly (analyst) · Daily (technical)
⚠ This information is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Short-term and long-term price predictions are algorithmically generated and carry significant uncertainty. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.